Welcome To Memphis, Vince Carter

Vince CarterIt was a day of insanity in the NBA. It was also a day of Linsanity. And then, a day of Vinsanity. The only form of sanity that wasn’t prevalent was sanity itself. Late in the day, Vince Carter, signed a three-year deal with the Memphis Grizzlies worth $12.2 million. Carter, who is currently 37 years old, will be over 40 if he plays out the length of his deal and could drop off at any stage, but his form last season for Dallas was of a very high standard.

The fact that Carter was in contention for the sixth-man of the year award last season speaks volumes about the level of play the 37-year-old. But don’t just take my word for it. Here are his stats from last season, his 16th in the league.

2013-14 MIN PTS 3PM REB AST STL BLK FGA FG% FTA FT% Rank
Vince Carter 24 11.9 1.8 3.5 2.6 0.8 0.4 10.0 40.7 2.4 82.1 115

Obviously, most of his value comes from beyond the arc and free throws, but still, in the last round of a draft or off the waiver wire, it’s hard to complain.

As I mentioned above, the Grizzlies really struggled hitting the long ball, but seemed to address that in the draft, selecting Jordan Adams from UCLA. In Summer League, Adams hit 1.4 three-pointers a game at a 38.9 percent clip.

Let’s now take a look at the current depth chart in Memphis on the wings

SG – Courtney Lee/Tony Allen/Vince Carter/Jordan Adams/Quincy Pondexter
SF – Tayshaun Prince/Vince Carter/Quincy Pondexter

At the two, there is a logjam. Allen will get minutes due to his exemplary defense and outstanding playoff campaign, really bothering Kevin Durant throughout their series. Lee had a decent season after arriving from Boston, but did fade down the stretch. Looking at this depth chart, it seems there is more room for Carter to succeed at the small forward position. Prince was a disaster there last season, so I’d expect both Carter and Pondexter to take minutes away there.

Another factor to consider with Carter’s move to Memphis is pace. Memphis was the league’s slowest team, averaging 89.9 possessions per game and that will impact Carter’s ability to put up numbers. This season, I can see Carter playing around 20 minutes, with the majority of them being at the expense of Prince.

2014-15 MIN PTS 3PM REB AST STL BLK FGA FG% FTA FT%
Vince Carter 20 9.4 1.4 2.8 1.9 0.6 0.4 7.9 42.1 1.9 82.2

Unfortunately, the drop in minutes combined with the slower pace, sees Vince drop out of standard league consideration, ranking him around pick 170. He could easily outperform that if he gets the bulk of the wing minutes, but I just don’t see that as being likely at this stage.

Leave a Reply