In fantasy leagues, we all know about the studs, Steph Curry, Anthony Davis, LeBron James, James Harden. They’re owned in all leagues, but that’s not necessarily where you win a championship. It’s about making adjustments, grabbing players who are set to produce when their opportunity arises. So, I though it would be a good idea to have a look at some of these players.
In “If They Were Starters”, I’ll be looking at the players with the best fantasy value, if their stats were extrapolated out to 36 minutes, an arbitrary standard used for starters. So, in a nutshell, who has the best fantasy value base don per-36 minutes numbers.
Mike Scott — Hawks
16 mpg, 12.3 ppg, 2.3 3pm, 3.7 rpg, 1.0 apg, 0.3 spg, 74 FG%, 50 FT%
A few things stand out when looking at Mike Scott’s early season production through three games. First of all, the ridiculous field goal percentage. That’s hold, particularly for a stretch four. He shot 48 percent last year and that’s a more realistic expectation. Secondly, if those scoring and three-point numbers were looked at on a per-36 basis, he’d be averaging 27.4 points and 5.2 three-pointers — highly unsustainable. But, when Al Horford went down last season and Pero Antic and Paul Millsap were battling injury, Scott stepped up and proved himself a valuable fantasy commodity. At the moment, Scott is only an option in 16 team leagues, but if one of the bigs goes down, you’d be wise to cast your eyes toward the former Virginia standout.
Brandan Wright — Mavericks
17 mpg, 8.8 ppg, 4.4 rpg, 0.4 apg, 0.4 spg, 1.6 bpg, 83 FG%, 86 FT%
Any column on per-36 numbers would feel naked with mention of Brandan Wright. He routinely is a top 20 fantasy player based on extrapolated numbers and has started off this season in a similar vein. Coach Rick Carlisle just never gives him enough minutes for him to become ownable in standard leagues. Looking at his percentages, they seem unsustainable, but then you factor in that he shot 68 percent from the field last season and 73 percent from the line and they aren’t too inflated over his first five games. The Mavericks don’t have the same sort of centre depth they had last season, with no one else able to be play minutes if Tyson Chandler goes down, so if anther injury strikes down Chandler, Wright could finally see enough minutes to be someone you’d want in 12 team leagues. For now though, he is someone for 14 team leagues as his field goal percentage boost is almost unchallenged on the waiver-wire.
Ed Davis — Lakers
23 mpg, 10.4 ppg, 7.2 rpg, 1.0 apg, 1.2 spg, 1.4 bpg, 67 FG%, 50 FT%
Actually, looking at those numbers, Davis could be argued away as being a player you want now in a 10 team league, especially the boards, blocks, steals and field goal percentage. But, if coach Byron Scott ever unleashes him as the start over veteran Carlos Boozer, we could be looking at a breakout. When he was given starter’s minutes in Toronto before the trade to Memphis, Davis was staple on 10 team rosters, well, at least he was on nearly all of my teams. Scott said he wouldn’t look at any lineup changes until at least 15-20 games have been played, so around the end of the month, we could see Davis getting closer to 28-30 minutes. If so, he’ll become someone you want to snap up. But, as I said earlier, with how he’s playing now, I see nothing wrong with rostering him now as he is producing some quality numbers.
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