Industry Fantasy Basketball Mock Draft 2014-15

It was with great pleasure that I accepted an invite to an industry fantasy basketball mock draft recently, my first for the 2014-15 season. What I thought would be an interesting exercise was to break down how things played out in the mock as an idea of how experts in the field are valuing these players at this early stage. Although it is early, most of the offseason dominoes have fallen into place, so barring a few minor deals (Quincy Acy, what up!) and a major one pending (paging Kevin Love), the values of players will remain fairly static.

Zack Rewis (@BigZack44) of The Fantasy Fix, set up and ran the mock draft and it included such fantasy luminaries as Steve Alexander, the venerable Dr. A, and Mike Gallagher from RotoWorld.com, Joe Polito of CBS.com, Sam Macey and Adam Ganeles, also of The Fantasy Fix, Ricky Sanders of Roto Experts, Mark Kaplan of Fantasy Alarm, Matt Smith of Fantasy Hoops Insider, Scott Malewig of Draft Day, and Matt McLean of Worldwide Fantasy.

The draft, which was conducted offline, slowly, began a couple of day before Paul George‘s injury, so when you see PG24 in the first round, that’s why. You’ll also notice some other Pacers higher than anticipated as the later rounds took place after the injury. We drafted with the knowledge that this league was an eight category rotisserie league, so as with any mock draft or fantasy league in general, you need to take the settings and scoring categories into consideration.

I ended up with pick seven out of the 12 combatants, right smack bang in the middle, which I was fairly happy with, as I feel there are seven really elite players this season. Below you’ll find the results of the draft, as well as my thoughts on each round, including why I will easily win this hypothetical league (I wish there was a sarcasm font).

Round One

  1. Kevin Durant, SF, Oklahoma City — Adam Ganeles (Adam)
  2. Anthony Davis, PF/C, New Orleans — Matt Smith (MattS)
  3. LeBron James, SF/PF, Cleveland — Ricky Sanders (Ricky)
  4. Stephen Curry, PG/SG, Golden State — Zack Rewis (Zack)
  5. James Harden, SG, Houston — Joe Polito (Joe)
  6. Chris Paul, PG, Los Angeles Clippers — Steve Alexander (Steve)
  7. Kevin Love, PF, Minnesota — Josh Lloyd (Josh)
  8. Russell Westbrook, PG, Oklahoma City — Mark Kaplan (Mark)
  9. Paul George, SG/SF, Indiana — Matt McLean (MattM)
  10. John Wall, PG, Washington — Mike Gallagher (Mike)
  11. Carmelo Anthony, SF/PF, New York — Sam Macey (Sam)
  12. Serge Ibaka, PF/C, Oklahoma City — Scott Malewig (Scott)

Most of the first round went on script, although John Wall felt a little early at pick 10. Obviously George isn’t going at pick nine in any drafts any more, but otherwise a pretty stock standard start to this draft.

Round Two

  1. DeMarcus Cousins, PF/C, Sacramento — Scott
  2. LaMarcus Aldridge, PF/C, Portland — Sam
  3. Kawhi Leonard, SG/SF, San Antonio — Mike
  4. Damian Lillard, PG, Portland — MattM
  5. Blake Griffin, PF, Los Angeles Clippers — Mark
  6. Al Horford, PF/C, Atlanta — Josh
  7. Al Jefferson, C, Charlotte — Steve
  8. Dwight Howard, C, Houston — Joe
  9. Chris Bosh, PF/C, Miami — Zack
  10. Kyle Lowry, PG, Toronto — Ricky
  11. Andre Drummond, PF/C, Detroit — MattS
  12. Kyrie Irving, PG, Cleveland — Adam

I was really, really pleased to grab Horford at pick 18 and although he’s coming off his second pectoral tear in the last three seasons, he’s been a fantasy star and there’s no reason to think the injury will recur. In a roto league, Drummond and Howard feel very high, because your free throw percentage is pretty much done and although I love Kawhi, in a league where turnovers aren’t a part of the scoring, he loses a touch of his value. That said, I would’ve grabbed him at 18 if he was still there.

Round Three

  1. Eric Bledsoe, PG/SG, Phoenix – Adam
  2. Goran Dragic, PG/SG, Phoenix — MattS
  3. Derrick Rose, PG, Chicago — Ricky
  4. Dirk Nowitzki, PF, Dallas — Zack
  5. Ty Lawson, PG, Denver — Joe
  6. Paul Millsap, PF, Atlanta — Steve
  7. Mike Conley, PG, Memphis — Josh
  8. Kemba Walker, PG, Charlotte — Mark
  9. Marc Gasol, C, Memphis — MattM
  10. Nicolas Batum, SG/SF, Portland — Mike
  11. Monta Ellis, PG/SG, Dallas — Sam
  12. Rajon Rondo, PG, Boston — Scott

Mike ConleyInterestingly, the two Phoenix guards went back-to-back. I would’ve had Dragic over Bledsoe, but it’s close. Rose went about where I expected him to, but that’s one round earlier than I would take him. I went with Conley at my pick as I needed a point guard and with six going off the board in between my picks, I needed to grab one as after Conley, only Walker or Rondo are top level guys and I don’t really like Rondo much in a roto format. Dirk and Millsap were absolute steals, considering they were both top 20 players last season.

Round Four

  1. Bradley Beal, SG, Washington — Scott
  2. Joakim Noah, C, Chicago — Sam
  3. Derrick Favors, PF/C, Utah — Mike
  4. Gordon Hayward, SG/SF, Utah — MattM
  5. DeMar DeRozan, SG, Toronto — Mark
  6. Jrue Holiday, PG, New Orleans — Josh
  7. Trevor Ariza, SF, Houston — Steve
  8. Chandler Parsons, SF, Dallas — Joe
  9. Kobe Bryant, SG, Los Angeles Lakers — Zack
  10. Pau Gasol, PF/C, Chicago — Ricky
  11. Jeff Teague, PG, Atlanta — MattS
  12. Brook Lopez, C, Brooklyn — Adam

There were a couple of surprises in this round, and that was the two Utah players going back to back. I can get behind the Hayward pick a little more than Favors, but in reality, they aren’t terrible and both guys have the opportunity to not only meet these expectations, but exceed them. Pau and Kobe both are too high for my liking and Lopez was pure theft at pick 48. I doubled up on point guards, grabbing Holiday here to team with Conley. Jrue is a solid roto contributor and assuming he’s healthy, which we have no reason to expect he isn’t, he’s a clear top 50 talent.

Round Five

  1. Victor Oladipo, PG/SG, Orlando — Adam
  2. Isaiah Thomas, PG/SG, Phoenix — MattS
  3. Jabari Parker, SF, Milwaukee — Ricky
  4. Nikola Vucevic, PF/C, Orlando — Zack
  5. Greg Monroe, PF/C, Detroit — Joe
  6. Klay Thompson, SG, Golden State — Steve
  7. Thaddeus Young, SF/PF, Philadelphia — Josh
  8. Roy Hibbert, C, Indiana — Mark
  9. Rudy Gay, SF, Sacramento — MattM
  10. David West, PF, Indiana — Mike
  11. Ricky Rubio, PG, Minnesota — Sam
  12. Josh Smith, SF/PF, Detroit — Scott

And there it is. The first rookie off the board. If you’re looking at Jabari, this looks to be the range you’ll need to grab him. This round was also when we started to see the effects of the George injury, with both Hibbert and West getting drafted. It’s still too high for Hibbert for mine, but he’s going to need to improve his play if the Pacers are going to be competitive this season. Even though it appears Young is on his way out of Philadelphia, I envisage him being able to have similar value in Minnesota as a replacement for Kevin Love as I don’t see the Timberwolves being able to play Nikola Pekovic and Gorgui Dieng together.

Round Six

  1. Michael Carter-Williams, PG, Philadelphia 76ers — Scott
  2. Ryan Anderson, PF, New Orleans — Sam
  3. Robin Lopez, C, Portland — Mike
  4. David Lee, PF/C, Golden State — MattM
  5. Lance Stephenson, SG, Charlotte — Mark
  6. Deron Williams, PG, Brooklyn — Josh
  7. DeAndre Jordan, C, Los Angeles Clippers — Steve
  8. Brandon Jennings, PG, Detroit — Joe
  9. Nerlens Noel, C, Philadelphia 76ers — Zack
  10. Andrew Wiggins, SG/SF, Cleveland — Ricky
  11. Giannis Antetokounmpo, SG/SF, Milwaukee — MattS
  12. Jonas Valanciunas, C, Toronto — Adam

Interestingly, Ricky went back-to-back on rookies, taking Wiggins after Parker one round earlier. I was really happy to snag Williams this late. Although he’s been a disaster, he was a disaster because he was drafted in the top 20 last year. To get him at pick 66 feels ridiculous to me and could easily be a top 20 guy again. At this stage, I had to take the punt. Another guy I was curious to see get drafted was Antetokounmpo. This felt about right for him and I would’ve definitely grabbed him on the way back around had Matt not picked him up.

Round Seven

  1. Markieff Morris, PF, Phoenix — Adam
  2. Kenneth Faried, PF, Denver — MattS
  3. Danilo Gallinari, SF, Denver — Ricky
  4. Jose Calderon, PG, New York — Zack
  5. Tim Duncan, PF/C, San Antonio — Joe
  6. Terrence Jones, PF, Houston — Steve
  7. Dwyane Wade, SG, Miami — Josh
  8. Marcin Gortat, C, Washington — Mark
  9. Tony Parker, PG, San Antonio — MattM
  10. Wesley Matthews, SG/SF, Portland — Mike
  11. Larry Sanders, C, Milwaukee — Sam
  12. Luol Deng, SF, Miami — Scott

Dwyane WadeMuch like Deron one round earlier, I couldn’t pass up Wade at pick 79. His games played were horrific last season, suiting up in only 54 games, but per game, he was ranked 29th. I think he plays closer to 70 this season and in a roto format, where each slot has a games limit, this was a steal. In head-to-head leagues, where the games played are more important, I would’ve waited another round, but with these settings, I had to jump on him.

Round Eight

  1. Tyreke Evans, PG/SG/SF, New Orleans — Scott
  2. Reggie Jackson, PG, Oklahoma — Sam
  3. Kyle Korver, SG/SF, Atlanta — Mike
  4. Nikola Pekovic, C, Minnesota — MattM
  5. Brandon Knight, PG/SG, Milwaukee — Mark
  6. Tyson Chandler, C, Dallas — Josh
  7. Jodie Meeks, SG, Detroit — Steve
  8. Joe Johnson, SG, Brooklyn — Joe
  9. Darren Collison, PG, Sacramento — Zack
  10. Zach Randolph, PF, Memphis — Ricky
  11. DeMarre Carroll, SF, Atlanta — MattS
  12. Tobias Harris, SF/PF, Orlando — Adam

Kyle Korver in the eighth round is close to the pick of the draft in my opinion. He’s a great fantasy player, especially in roto, with his ability to contribute in a few categories, but not hurt in any either. I went big with my pick as I was lacking blocks and boards and I think Chandler can be a top 50 guy again this season back in Dallas.

Round Nine

  1. Trey Burke, PG, Utah — Adam
  2. Jordan Hill, PF/C, Los Angeles Lakers — MattS
  3. Andrew Bogut, C, Golden State — Ricky
  4. J.J. Redick, SG, Los Angeles Clippers — Zack
  5. Arron Afflalo, SG, Denver — Joe
  6. Josh McRoberts, PF, Miami — Steve
  7. Jamal Crawford, PG/SG, Los Angeles Clippers — Josh
  8. Carlos Boozer, PF, Los Angeles Lakers — Mark
  9. Elfrid Payton, PG, Orlando Magic — MattM
  10. Patrick Beverley, PG, Houston — Mike
  11. Jimmy Butler, SG/SF, Chicago — Sam
  12. Omer Asik, C, New Orleans — Scott

I really like the Jordan Hill pick in this round as I think if given the minutes, he can be a stat stuffer in Los Angeles. Crawford tends to be overlooked in fantasy, mainly because he is mostly just a scorer and three-point shooter, but this is the range of the draft where you grab those guys, and I needed an infusion in those categories.

Round Ten

  1. Julius Randle, PF, Los Angeles Lakers — Scott
  2. Kevin Martin, SG, Minnesota — Sam
  3. George Hill, PG, Indiana — Mike
  4. Eric Gordon, SG, New Orleans — MattM
  5. C.J. Miles, SG/SF, Indiana — Mark
  6. Jeremy Lin, PG, Los Angeles Lakers — Josh
  7. John Henson, PF/C, Milwaukee — Steve
  8. Channing Frye, PF/C, Orlando — Joe
  9. Paul Pierce, SF/PF, Washington — Zack
  10. Taj Gibson, PF, Chicago — Ricky
  11. Gerald Green, SG/SF, Phoenix — MattS
  12. Dion Waiters, SG, Cleveland — Adam

I really wanted Hill at my pick, but Mike snapped him up three picks earlier, so I settled for Lin, who will be the Lakers’ starting point guard this season (sorry, Steve Nash). LIn won’t be a star, but he will be a solid source of numbers this season and I’m confident, he’ll exceed this draft spot. We also had our fourth rookie go, with Randle kicking off the round. With Boozer in town, Randle just doesn’t tickle my fantasy fancy at anything inside the top 150, but he could just as easily start over Boozer before preseason is done.

Round Eleven

  1. Jared Sullinger, PF, Boston — Adam
  2. J.R. Smith, SG, New York — MattS
  3. Tony Wroten, PG/SG, Philadelphia — Ricky
  4. Mirza Teletovic, PF, Brooklyn — Zack
  5. Andre Iguodala, SG/SF, Golden State — Joe
  6. Ersan Ilyasova, SF/PF, Milwaukee — Steve
  7. Amir Johnson, PF/C, Toronto — Josh
  8. Tiago Splitter, PF/C, San Antonio — Mark
  9. Miles Plumlee, C, Phoenix — MattM
  10. K.J. McDaniels, SF, Philadelphia — Mike
  11. Kelly Olynyk, C, Boston — Sam
  12. Rodney Stuckey, SG, Indiana — Scott

Another rookie off the board with McDaniels going and in fact, I would’ve had him well ahead of teammate Wroten, who went earlier in the round. I just can’t see Wroten playing much over McDaniels, Hollis Thompson and even Jordan McRae. I may be wrong, but I don’t think he has much upside. Johnson was one of the best remaining sources for boards and blocks and that’s what I was needing at this stage. He struggled at times last season, but was also very good at others and I’m hoping we see good Amir much more this season.

Round Twelve

  1. Enes Kanter, C, Utah — Scott
  2. Tim Hardaway Jr., SG, New York — Sam
  3. Mario Chalmers, PG, Miami — Mike
  4. Andrea Bargnani, PF/C, New York — MattM
  5. Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, SG, Detroit — Mark
  6. Jeff Green, SF/PF, Boston — Josh
  7. Vince Carter, SG, Memphis — Steve
  8. Anderson Varejao, C, Cleveland — Joe
  9. Rudy Gobert, C, Utah — Zack
  10. JaVale McGee, C, Denver — Ricky
  11. Kendall Marshall , PG, Milwaukee — MattS
  12. Spencer Hawes, C, Los Angeles Clippers — Adam

At this stage in the draft, you are looking for upside and value and it’s hard to hate on any picks. Green was routinely drafted in the 60’s last season, so to see that he slipped this far is a surprise, although his season was horrible.

Round Thirteen

  1. Zach LaVine, SG, Minnesota — Adam
  2. Gorgui Dieng, C, Minnesota — MattS
  3. Raymond Felton, PG, Dallas — Ricky
  4. Rodney Hood, SF, Utah — Zack
  5. Nene, PF, Washington — Joe
  6. Avery Bradley, PG/SG, Boston — Steve
  7. Nick Young, SG, Los Angeles Lakers — Josh
  8. Anthony Morrow, SG, Oklahoma City — Mark
  9. Danny Green, SG, San Antonio Spurs — MattM
  10. Samuel Dalembert, C, New York — Mike
  11. Timofey Mozgov, C, Denver — Sam
  12. Dante Exum, PG, Utah — Scott

Nick YoungThree rookies in this round as the owners started looking for upside opportunities. I don’t really like the LaVine pick as Martin is still in Minnesota and Wiggins will likely be joining him there, but as I said, at this stage, you can afford a flyer. Swaggy P adds scoring punch late in the draft and will hopefully still give me good three-point production. I expect absolutely nothing else from him this season.

Round Fourteen

  1. Anthony Bennett, PF, Cleveland — Scott
  2. Alec Burks, SG, Utah — Sam
  3. Draymond Green, SF, Golden State — Mike
  4. Tristan Thompson, PF, Cleveland — MattM
  5. Henry Sims, C, Philadelphia — Mark
  6. Cody Zeller, PF, Charlotte — Josh
  7. Solomon Hill, SF, Indiana — Steve
  8. Marcus Smart, PG, Boston — Joe
  9. Jameer Nelson, PG, Dallas — Zack
  10. Jarrett Jack, PG/SG, Brooklyn — Ricky
  11. Matt Barnes, SF, Los Angeles Clippers — MattS
  12. Ray McCallum, PG, Sacramento — Adam

Zeller seems like he will be the opening day starter at power forward this season in Charlotte, so I feel his upside is very high going into his second season. The guy I really wanted at this pick was Bennett as if he moves to Philadelphia, he could post some monster numbers.

Round Fifteen

  1. Dennis Schroder, PG, Atlanta Hawks — Adam
  2. Donatas Motiejunas, PF, Houston — MattS
  3. Wilson Chandler, SG/SF, Denver — Ricky
  4. Mason Plumlee, C, Brooklyn — Zack
  5. Nik Stauskas, SG, Sacramento — Joe
  6. Louis Williams, PG/SG, Toronto — Steve
  7. Otto Porter Jr., SF, Washington — Josh
  8. Wesley Johnson, SF, Los Angeles Lakers — Mark
  9. Doug McDermott, SF/PF, Chicago — MattM
  10. James Ennis, SF, Miami — Mike
  11. Terrence Ross, SG/SF, Toronto — Sam
  12. Martell Webster, SG/SF, Washington — Scott

I wrapped things up with an upside pick in Porter. If Pierce suffers an injury, which has a higher probability due to his age, Porter will be the man at the three and will be eager to prove himself now that he is fully healthy. He could be a top 100 guy and I couldn’t ignore the upside here.

Here’s how my team shakes out by position

PG — Conley/Holiday/Williams/Lin
SG — Wade/Crawford/Young
SF — Young/Green/Porter
PF — Love/Johnson/Zeller
C — Horford/Chandler

So that’s it. A total of 180 players drafted, all by people in the fantasy basketball industry. I hope you can get some early season trends out of this mock draft and make sure you let me know who wound up with the best team and which picks you liked and hated.

4 thoughts on “Industry Fantasy Basketball Mock Draft 2014-15

  1. IMO your draft is OK but you could have done better with some picks :

    – Jefferson ahead of Horford is a no brainer. Horford is fragile and Charlotte just added another playmaker in Stephenson.

    – I would have gone Teague over Holiday. Nola has to learn how to play with Jrue, Tyreke & Amir. Jrue might have a very slow start.

    – Tyson Chandler is on the decline and always misses 10 to 15 games. I’d rather go with Z-BO. But you have to go for blocks and FG later in the draft.

    – Amir is ok but I think Kanter will be better this year. But Amir being PF/C is a good fit for your team. If Mason Plumlee gets the PF/C positions, take Kanter. If Plumlee is just C take Amir.

    – Mason Plumlee over Cody Zeller all day ! You need more blocks and another C.

    – Terrence Ross instead of Porter. Ross enters his year 3 in the league, he might be a steal this late even if the Raptors have lots of talent.

    Here is your team with my adjustments :

    PG – Conley / Teague / Williams / Lin
    SG – Wade / Crawford / Young
    SF – Young / Green / Ross
    PF – Love / Z-BO / Amir (* instead of Kanter if Plumlee is C) / *Plumlee
    C – Big Al / Kanter (* instead of Amir if Plumlee gets the PF tag) / *Plumlee

    I really like your Deron, Wade, Lin, Green and of course, Love & Conley picks.

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  4. Chris bosh over al horford for durability , millsap had too strong of a year where bosh has more shots coming to him and free throws with born departure.

    Rudy gay over Thaddeus young, gorging and wiggins stand to take minutes away from him , where Rudy gay is a safer or more tradable chips seem you seem to be missing Rebs and blks.

    Would have pick my Rebs ans blks with taj Gibson instead of Lin and pick replace Lin’s value with Mario Chalmers for his upside in steal and assit instead of Amir Johnson.

    You guys murdered wade deron and Jeff green….great steal.

    Keep up the podcast !

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