In this week’s installation of the Hoops Barometer, we’ll take a look at the madness of the 2015 trade deadline. A lot of players were moved and a lot of surprising deals were made. I’ll attempt to pick through the most important players and how it impacts them from a fantasy stand point for this year and the years to come. For fun I’ll put them into three categories; Value Increase, Value Neutral, and Value Decrease.
Value Increase – These guys you have been waiting to see moved and the wait is over.
Enter the dragon at the top of the list.
Goran Dragic – In a move that was no surprise the Suns finally traded Goran Dragic. His landing spot is a very nice one. He moves into the starting role for Miami with no other good point guards to contend with (sorry Mario Chalmers). Dragic has averaged 15.7 points, 1.4 steals, 6.2 assists, 1.3 three point shots made on a very nice 47 percent shooting from the field over the past three seasons. In Miami I expect these strong numbers to continue but would go on to say his points per game should also go up. He averaged 20.3 points per game last year. With Chris Bosh out, they need him even more to end the year, and Dwyane Wade won’t be playing every game.
Reggie Jackson – This guy has been expected to be that amazing third power house in OKC for years. But instead, whether disgruntled or behind two ball hogging stars, he has not lived up to expectations. Moving on to a reinvigorated line-up in Detroit is going to give him all the chance in the world to show his stuff… for now. Next year Brandon Jennings will be back. All in all he’s got talent and a great opportunity. But I’m not ground floor buying. Too much unknown, and I didn’t like what I saw when he got his shots with Westbrook injured. Last year 29 minutes a game he shot 44 percent from the field and a really nice 89 percent from the free throw line. He also had 13.1 points, 1.1 steal, 4.1 assists, 3.9 rebounds, and 1.0 three points shots made per game. He’ll probably produce better stats then when in Detroit, but I’m taking a wait and see approach as to how much better they will be.
Isaiah Thomas – I’m loving me some Isaiah Thomas right about now. He may benefit even more than Dragic and he’s younger. He goes to a great situation in terms of play time in Boston but the team around him could use some work. That being said I’m focusing on what he did last year in Sacramento. 20.3 points, 1.3 steals, 6.3 assists, 2.9 boards, 1.8 three point shots made per game on 45 percent shooting. That’s pretty great guard numbers right there. I expect him to fill that kind of role in Boston. He may have a few less assists, but he might also get even more three pointers or points. I’d buy on this guy.
Value Neutral – These guys moved, but did they move much statistically?
Thaddeus Young – After breaking out with some career best numbers last year he’s come back to a mediocre season this year. He’s not terrible but he’s not been great either. I think at this point what you see is what you get. His three year averages are 15.3 points, 1.6 steals, 6.2 rebounds on 49 percent shooting. He hurts you at the free throw line, mostly shooting sub 70 percent for his career, and he doesn’t do much shot blocking or three point shooting. Wouldn’t mind having him on my team late, but I’m not running out to get him.
Brandon Knight – Don’t get me wrong here, I actually like Knight. I just don’t think the move changes much. He had a good spot with the bucks and he’ll have a good one with the Suns now that they only have him and Eric Bledsoe. I expect him to continue to get about what he got last year which was 17.9 points, .9 steals, 4.9 assists, 3.5 rebounds, and 1.5 three point shots made on 42 percent shooting.
Michael Carter-Williams – He played pretty well last year and is young. However, his horrible shot percentage needs to be corrected if he’s going to become a star in fantasy. This year he was averaging 14.9 points, 1.4 steals, 7.3 assists, 6.2 rebounds and 0.8 three point shots made per game while shooting 38 percent from the field and 64 percent from the free throw line. Aside from the shot percentages, these are pretty good numbers but I don’t expect them to go up because of the trade. If you need a young point guard with upside, there are worse options out there. I’m not running out to get this guy though until he can stop wrecking the shot percentage categories.
Value Decrease – These guys were more like huh? Traded to situations where they aren’t going to shine.
I’m going to lump these guys together because in my opinion they aren’t worth anyone’s fantasy time at the moment. Why would Minnesota lose a player they spent a first round draft pick for to get Kevin Garnett. Even if they re-sign him, this guy’s relevant days are over. Then the two guys going to OKC in D.J. Augustin and Enes Kanter. They will now play limited minutes behind other good players. Augustin was having a nice run where he was and was very fantasy relevant while Kanter has been a breakout candidate for a while. For now, I wouldn’t touch either of them.